Economist Presidential Forecast 2024. It now gives him a 54 in 100 chance of winning and kamala harris just a 45. Less than a month later, on april 4, no labels snuffed out its 2024 presidential ambitions.

Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by andrew gelman of columbia university, our model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each. Less than a month later, on april 4, no labels snuffed out its 2024 presidential ambitions.